Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000444 0.000495 0.000551 0.000618 0.000697 0.000786 0.000896
2025-01-12 0.000355 0.000421 0.000500 0.000604 0.000738 0.000909 0.001149
2025-01-19 0.000313 0.000389 0.000485 0.000621 0.000813 0.001083 0.001508
2025-01-26 0.000270 0.000345 0.000446 0.000596 0.000822 0.001163 0.001755
2025-02-02 0.000246 0.000323 0.000432 0.000600 0.000869 0.001307 0.002144
2025-02-09 0.000230 0.000310 0.000427 0.000616 0.000935 0.001495 0.002678
2025-02-16 0.000216 0.000298 0.000421 0.000628 0.000996 0.001689 0.003306
2025-02-23 0.000207 0.000291 0.000421 0.000650 0.001078 0.001944 0.004195
2025-03-02 0.000195 0.000280 0.000413 0.000655 0.001131 0.002153 0.005093
2025-03-09 0.000182 0.000264 0.000397 0.000644 0.001147 0.002289 0.005870
2025-03-16 0.000173 0.000255 0.000389 0.000646 0.001191 0.002501 0.007048
2025-03-23 0.000165 0.000246 0.000382 0.000650 0.001240 0.002742 0.008544
2025-03-30 0.000158 0.000239 0.000378 0.000660 0.001308 0.003079 0.010889
2025-04-06 0.000148 0.000227 0.000363 0.000647 0.001323 0.003275 0.012902
2025-04-13 0.000144 0.000223 0.000364 0.000667 0.001425 0.003793 0.017692
2025-04-20 0.000134 0.000209 0.000344 0.000640 0.001397 0.003863 0.019781
2025-04-27 0.000128 0.000203 0.000339 0.000644 0.001456 0.004284 0.025788
2025-05-04 0.000125 0.000200 0.000340 0.000662 0.001556 0.004938 0.036771
2025-05-11 0.000121 0.000196 0.000339 0.000675 0.001650 0.005639 0.052939
2025-05-18 0.000119 0.000195 0.000342 0.000699 0.001786 0.006666 0.085213
2025-05-25 0.000115 0.000190 0.000338 0.000705 0.001866 0.007485 0.127521
2025-06-01 0.000110 0.000183 0.000328 0.000693 0.001878 0.007936 0.169901
2025-06-08 0.000106 0.000178 0.000323 0.000695 0.001944 0.008806 0.265926